Forsyth Barr Urges Manawa Energy Shareholders to Consider Contact Energy Switch

Sep 23, 2024

Highlights:

  • Contact Energy's Acquisition Offer: Contact Energy Limited (NZX: CEN) proposes to acquire 100% of Manawa Energy Limited (NZX: MNW) in a deal valued at NZ$2.3 billion, offering 0.5719 Contact shares and NZ$1.16 cash per Manawa share.
  • Premium Valuation: The takeover offer presents a premium over Manawa's pre-offer market capitalization of NZ$1.26 billion, giving shareholders a financial incentive to consider the merger.
  • Infratil's Risk: Infratil, a major shareholder in Manawa, could face significant losses if the deal is declined, as it holds a large stake in Manawa's future performance.

Analysts Weigh in on Takeover Deal

Forsyth Barr analysts are advising shareholders of Manawa Energy Limited (NZX: MNW) to consider swapping their shares for Contact Energy Limited (NZX: CEN) shares as the proposed takeover deal takes shape. Contact Energy has entered into a scheme of implementation to acquire a full 100% shareholding in Manawa Energy, a transaction valued at approximately NZ$2.3 billion.

Offer Breakdown

The offer presents Manawa shareholders with a combination of 0.5719 Contact Energy shares for each share they hold, alongside a cash payment of NZ$1.16 per Manawa share. Prior to the announcement of the takeover bid, Manawa's market capitalization stood at NZ$1.26 billion, with a share price of NZ$4.03. The offer reflects a premium over Manawa's pre-offer valuation, giving shareholders a chance to evaluate the potential benefits of the merger.

Infratil's Stake and Potential Risks

Infratil, a major shareholder in Manawa Energy, could face greater financial losses than Contact Energy if the deal is rejected. Forsyth Barr analysts have noted that Infratil has more at stake in the takeover scenario, as it is highly invested in Manawa's future performance. This gives Manawa shareholders reason to consider the potential downsides of declining the offer, particularly in light of the financial backing and stability that Contact could provide.

Shareholder Decisions in Focus

As the takeover negotiations progress, shareholders of both companies are closely watching the developments. Forsyth Barr's recommendation highlights the importance of carefully considering the proposal's long-term benefits. If the deal moves forward, it could reshape the New Zealand energy market landscape, with Contact Energy solidifying its position through the acquisition of Manawa’s assets.

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